Eagles vs. Packers Monday Night Football: Preview, Predictions, and Betting Odds
- Football Nation
- 3 days ago
- 5 min read
A Clash of NFC Powers
The Philadelphia Eagles are back from their Week 9 bye and ready to face a dangerous, if slightly wounded, Green Bay Packers team at Lambeau Field. As the air gets colder and the NFC playoff race heats up, Monday Night Football in Week 10 has all the makings of a classic—two perennial contenders, both with something to prove, colliding under the primetime lights.
After a week spent resting, recalibrating, and getting healthier, the 6-2 Eagles enter a conference landscape that suddenly looks wide open. The Lions stumbled, the Commanders cratered, and the Packers themselves fell to the scrappy Carolina Panthers. For a Philadelphia team that sat idle and watched chaos unfold, the timing couldn’t be better.
Injury Updates and Reinforcements
The Eagles used their bye strategically, with several key contributors expected to return. Linebacker Nolan Smith and receiver A.J. Brown are anticipated to be fully healthy, while veteran Brandon Graham—coming out of his brief retirement—is reportedly set to rejoin the defensive rotation. Philadelphia’s front office was also aggressive at the trade deadline, acquiring Pro Bowl corner Jaire Alexander and pass rusher Jaelan Phillips to strengthen defensive depth and coverage schemes.
Green Bay, on the other hand, is limping into this matchup. Tight end Tucker Kraft tore his ACL in Sunday’s loss to Carolina, and rookie wideout Matthew Golden’s shoulder injury clouds his availability for Monday night. That’s a massive hit to an already thin receiving corps, leaving quarterback Jordan Love with fewer options in the passing game.
The injury situation alone tips the momentum slightly toward Philadelphia, which appears to be stabilizing at the perfect time.
Recent Trends and Betting Lines
Oddsmakers still lean toward the home team, but just barely. Below are the latest Monday Night Football lines as of November 4:
The Packers are modest favorites at home, which reflects Green Bay’s strong defense and Lambeau’s notorious cold-weather advantage. But the Eagles have history on their side—Philadelphia has won nine straight games against NFC North opponents and often thrives in nationally televised settings.
Most analysts see an ugly, close game with a lower total. With both teams ranked bottom-five in tempo and expected temperatures near freezing, it wouldn’t be surprising if the game script leans heavily toward the run game. Betting projections widely favor the Under between 44 and 45.5 total points.
The “Tush Push” Subplot and Bad Blood
Eagles-Packers already had juice entering the season. Philadelphia’s 2024 playoff win over Green Bay ended the Packers’ postseason run, and what followed only added fuel to this rivalry. Green Bay president and CEO Mark Murphy spearheaded an offseason campaign to ban the “Tush Push,” arguing that the quarterback sneak style gave the Eagles an unfair edge.
That proposal didn’t pass—and the Eagles wasted no time turning the controversy into a rallying cry. The “Push On” T-shirt and social media campaign became a statement of identity for a team that thrives on physical dominance.
Fans on both sides haven’t forgotten that storyline, and it’s sure to resurface once kickoff hits. For Philadelphia, this isn’t just another regular season primetime game; it’s an opportunity to remind the NFC who still holds the power up front.
Packers’ Struggles: Missed Opportunities Piling Up
Green Bay’s loss to Carolina last week was a case study in frustration. The Packers reached the red zone five times but scored only 13 points. Rookie mistakes, penalties, and questionable coaching calls undercut their efforts. Quarterback Jordan Love went 26-of-37 for 273 yards with one interception—a performance marred by untimely turnovers and an inability to capitalize late.
Head coach Matt LaFleur admitted after the loss that he regretted passing up a fourth-quarter field goal opportunity. Instead of cutting the deficit to four, the decision to go for it on fourth down ended in failure, setting the stage for Carolina’s game-winning march.
Compounding matters, Green Bay’s defense couldn’t contain Carolina running back Rico Dowdle, who posted 130 rushing yards and sealed the game with a late 19-yard burst. That kind of breakdown spells trouble with Saquon Barkley next on the schedule.
Matchup Breakdown: Hurts vs. Love
Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts enters this matchup in rhythm. Over his last four games, Hurts completed 71 percent of his passes for 1,068 yards, 10 touchdowns, and just one interception. The offense regained balance thanks to Barkley’s 150-yard rushing performance in Week 8, while tight end Dallas Goedert continues to play an important possession role.
Green Bay’s defensive strength lies in its pass coverage, ranked among the league’s top ten in defensive dropback success rate. Expect defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley to disguise coverage and force Hurts into checkdowns. The problem for the Packers is Philadelphia’s ability to control tempo and wear down fronts with long drives that mix QB power runs with inside zone looks.
On the flip side, Jordan Love could be walking into a nightmare scenario. Without Kraft or potentially Golden, his target options are narrowing. Facing an Eagles defense freshly reinforced with Phillips and Alexander, Green Bay may need to rely on Josh Jacobs to carry the workload. That approach could limit explosive plays and keep overall scoring under control—precisely what bettors projecting the Under are banking on.
Key Stats and Considerations
Philadelphia is averaging 28 points per game over its last two contests.
Green Bay is allowing just 16.3 points per game at home.
The Under is 41-12-1 when both teams have more than eight days of rest in games with totals between 42 and 45.5 since 2018.
The Eagles rank eighth in offensive DVOA and are top-five in third-down conversion rate.
The Packers entered Week 9 seventh in offensive DVOA but have faced one of the league’s softest defensive schedules.
These trends reinforce the idea that Monday’s showdown may come down to situational football—execution in the red zone, turnover margin, and clock control rather than fireworks.
Prediction: Hurts Delivers, Defense Decides It
This game has every ingredient for a defensive-focused chess match at Lambeau Field. Both offenses prefer a deliberate pace, both coaching staffs lean conservative in cold-weather conditions, and both defenses are built around star edge players capable of wrecking drives.
While the Packers are a small home favorite, the healthier and deeper Eagles appear better positioned to grind out a close win. With Hurts in control, Barkley pounding between tackles, and a rejuvenated defense now integrating Alexander and Phillips, Philadelphia has the toolkit to dictate style and tempo.
Predicted Final Score: Eagles 23, Packers 20Best Bet: Under 45 Points (-115)Early Pick: Eagles +2.5
The NFC may be shifting, and Monday night could be the moment the Eagles reclaim their footing on top of the conference hierarchy. For the Packers, it’s a chance to prove their early-season promise wasn’t fool’s gold. For everyone watching, it’s another heavyweight fight under the Monday night lights—cold, loud, and full of meaning.