Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys - Week 4 Preview

Green Bay Packers (2-1) at Dallas Cowboys (1-2)

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. EDT | NBC

Point Spread: Packers favored by 7 points

The Green Bay Packers head to Arlington to take on the Dallas Cowboys in a key Sunday Night Football showdown. Green Bay leads this rivalry series 22-17, having won 10 of the last 11 matchups, including a dominant 48-32 victory over Dallas in last January’s wild-card playoff game.

Recent Form and NFL Rankings

The Packers enter this game recovering from a narrow 13-10 defeat at Cleveland, while Dallas struggled with a 31-14 loss to Chicago.

Offensively, Green Bay ranks 21st overall, 20th in rushing, and 17th passing, with a solid 18th scoring offense. Defensively, they boast one of the league's elite units, ranking 3rd overall, 3rd against the run, 7th against the pass, and allowing the fewest points per game.

Dallas presents a dynamic offense ranked 4th overall, 11th in rushing, 3rd in passing, and 10th in scoring, but their defense has been porous, sitting 30th overall and struggling particularly against the pass (32nd).

Turnover margin favors the Packers (+1) against the Cowboys’ minus-5.

Players to Watch

Green Bay: Edge rusher Micah Parsons makes his return to Dallas after a blockbuster trade. Parsons, a two-time All-Pro from his Cowboys tenure, has consistently pressured opposing quarterbacks, with 12+ sacks in each of his four seasons in Dallas. Though still finding his footing with Green Bay’s defense, Parsons has already impacted games with 1.5 sacks this season.

Dallas: Defensive tackle Kenny Clark faces his former team for the first time since being traded for Parsons in a rare swap involving multiple first-round picks. Clark spent nine seasons with the Packers, earning three Pro Bowl nods, and was acquired to bolster Dallas’s long-struggling run defense.

Key positional battle: Parsons vs. Dallas offensive line—Tyler Smith, the Cowboys’ promising left guard and a former teammate of Parsons, will have a personal challenge ahead. Injuries have thinned the Cowboys' offensive line, forcing backups at center and left guard, which could influence the ability to contain Green Bay’s pass rush.

Injury Report

Green Bay’s offensive line faces challenges with Zach Tom recovering from an oblique injury, Aaron Banks sidelined by a groin issue, and Javon Bullard absent with a concussion. Wide receiver Jayden Reed remains on injured reserve following surgeries.

Dallas contends with deficits at cornerback Trevon Diggs, who is limited by knee and shoulder injuries. Receiver CeeDee Lamb (ankle) and tackle Cooper Beebe (foot) are expected to miss multiple weeks, complicating the Cowboys’ offensive outlook.

Historical Context

The Packers have been unbeatable at AT&T Stadium, boasting a 5-0 record, including scoring 34+ points in each visit—a feat unmatched by any other Dallas opponent. This streak underscores Green Bay’s ability to excel in Dallas’s retractable roof environment.

Tactical Notes and Stats

Green Bay’s offense has struggled to establish the run this season, ranking last in successful rushing plays last week. Their passing efficacy also dips sharply under pressure. The Packers have started seven first-half drives inside their own 20-yard line this season, the most in the NFL, and preferentially run the football late in games, second only to the bottom in pass attempts during the fourth quarter.

Conversely, Dallas heavily favors the pass on third downs, especially in short-yardage situations, ranking highest in attempts on third-and-short plays but showing poor efficiency on first-read passes.

Fantasy Insight

Dak Prescott continues to perform well historically against Green Bay, having multiple touchdown passes in every matchup. Despite Lamb's injury, rookie wideout George Pickens, recently acquired in a trade, is expected to step into the primary receiver role and has shown promise with back-to-back touchdowns.

Prediction & Betting Outlook

The Packers are favored by seven points with an over/under set near 47.5. Historical trends and recent performance suggest Green Bay holds the edge, bolstered by a defense that hasn't allowed a touchdown in the first three quarters all season. However, Dallas’s potent offense and home-field factor could keep this contest competitive.