Jaguars vs Dolphins - Predictions, Odds & Game Preview

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins

NFL Preseason Week 3 – Saturday, August 23, 2025 - Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL

Kickoff: 7:00 PM EDT | Watch: NFL Network, NFL+

Betting Odds & Lines

Market	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins
Spread	+3.5 (-110)	-3.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+155	-190
Over/Under Total	37.5 (-110)	37.5 (-110)

Team Overview & Recent Form

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1-1 Preseason)

• Jaguars have been balanced under coach Liam Coen but are without key two-way star Travis Hunter, sidelined with an upper body injury for this game.

• Quarterback depth includes veterans C.J. Beathard and Mac Jones, expected to see the bulk of snaps with Trevor Lawrence likely resting.

• The offense has shown sharper execution compared to the Dolphins through two preseason games, especially early in games.

• Defense allowed poor passer ratings in various pressured and long-down situations last season, indicating coverage vulnerabilities.

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Miami Dolphins (1-0-1 Preseason)

• The Dolphins are favored at home but dealing with secondary injuries, forcing rather inexperienced rookie defensive backs into significant roles.

• Rookie QB Quinn Ewers is anticipated to play extended snaps, as starter Tua Tagovailoa is expected to rest. Backup play has shown inconsistency.

• The Dolphins offense is explosive but has struggled with consistency, especially in coverage due to injuries in the secondary.

• Running back rookies like Ollie Gordon II are making strong preseason pushes.

Key Player Prop Bets

• Jacksonville: Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units, 53% ROI).

• Miami: Jason Sanders has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units, 56% ROI).

Statistical & Situational Keys

Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins
Winless when tied after Q1 since 2023 (0-5)	Winless when allowing 27+ points last season (0-6)
1-7 on the road last season	0-9 vs. top 10 run offenses since 2023
Poor success on passes with motion (2nd-worst in NFL)	Lowest blitz rate in NFL (8%) and fewest blitzes (90)
Allowed worst passer ratings on motion and play-action	Best defense on contested throws
Average time of possession lowest in NFL (26 min 18 sec)	Incredible 4th quarter 3rd-down conversion rate (60%)

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Game Environment

• Expect high heat and humidity at Hard Rock Stadium, potentially affecting player stamina and rotation depth, especially in later quarters.

• Both teams have joint practices earlier in the week, likely resulting in limited snaps for starters.

Expert Prediction & Betting Analysis

• Primary Pick: Jaguars +3 — Better depth and preseason rhythm vs. Miami’s injury challenges.

• Secondary Pick: First Half Under 20.5 — Conservative early gameplay expected due to scripted plays and rotations.

• The Dolphins’ home-field advantage and explosive potential keep them competitive, but injuries and depth issues create value on the Jaguars' side.

This preseason finale is a crucial evaluation for both squads, especially on depth and backup performance. The Jaguars have demonstrated cohesion and execution early in games compared to Miami’s challenges in the secondary and overall consistency. While not a game defined by stars, the Jaguars’ stronger depth and sharper early performance give them an edge with the points in this matchup.

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