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Falcons vs. Dallas: Preseason Preview, Cowboys Outlook

Updated: Aug 22

Atlanta Falcons vs. Dallas Cowboys: NFL Preseason Week 3 Preview & Betting Guide


Date: Friday, August 22, 2025

Kickoff: 8:00 PM ET

Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Broadcast: NFL Network


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falcons vs cowboys


Current Odds (as of August 21, 2025)

Team

Spread

Total (O/U)

Moneyline

Atlanta Falcons

+2.5 (-110)

36.5 (-115)

+125

Dallas Cowboys

-2.5 (-110)

36.5 (-105)

-150

WHO WILL WIN?

  • FALCONS

  • COWBOYS


Game Overview

The Atlanta Falcons (0-2 preseason) visit the Dallas Cowboys (0-2 preseason) for the Week 3 preseason finale, both aiming to snap their winless streaks. Neither team is expected to play many starters, focusing primarily on evaluating backups and determining roster spots.



Team Form & Key Notes

Atlanta Falcons

  • Currently 0-2 in preseason, coming off a close 23-20 loss to the Tennessee Titans.

  • Easton Stick has led the offense with flashes of productivity, with 173 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception last game.

  • Newly signed QB Ben DiNucci may see reps as the team explores backup options.

  • Offense has struggled with conversion rates, going 5 of 15 on third downs last outing.

  • Defense led by Lamar Jackson, notable for eight tackles and key pressures.


Dallas Cowboys

  • Also 0-2, coming off a 31-13 loss against Baltimore Ravens.

  • Joe Milton is the projected starter again, but has struggled with turnovers (one interception in two games).

  • Will Grier is the expected backup QB in this game.

  • Offensive production has been limited, with just 176 total yards in last contest.

  • Defense has been active with Andrew Booth and Christian Clark posting tackles and tackles for loss.


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Betting Insights & Predictions

  • Models favor the Cowboys with a 71.3% confidence win probability, projecting they will cover the -2.5 spread with 75.1% confidence.

  • The total points line at 36.5 reflects expectations for a moderately paced, defense-leaning game typical of preseason.

  • Both teams have shown issues on offense and defense but the Cowboys’ slightly deeper quarterback room and home field advantage give them the edge.

  • The best betting value is backing the Cowboys to cover the spread (-2.5, -110) and the total to go under 35.5 (-105), predicting a low-scoring contest.



Player Prop Bets to Watch

Player

Team

Prop Bet

Historical Trend & ROI

Bijan Robinson

Falcons

Rushing Yards Over

Hit in 11 of last 13 games

Brandon Aubrey

Cowboys

Field Goals Over

Hit in 14 of last 17 games



Team Strengths and Weaknesses

Category

Atlanta Falcons

Dallas Cowboys

Defense

Struggled with explosive passes allowed and sacks

Strong pass rush and QB pressure; best in NFL

Offense

Effective rush on play-action but inefficient QB scrambling

Turnover-prone in red zone; struggles with play-action

Third Quarter Trends

Covered 3Q spreads in 6 of last 8 away games

Covered 2Q spread in 10 of last 14 games

This matchup will be a battle of young, unproven talent as both teams rest starters. The Dallas Cowboys’ home field and more stable quarterback situation give them a slight advantage in a game projected to be low scoring under the total line. Falcons continue to seek offensive consistency while trying to solidify the backup quarterback role.



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