Broncos vs Saints | NFL Preseason Week 3 Preview

Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints

NFL Preseason Week 3 — Saturday, August 23, 2025 - Caesars Superdome, New Orleans

The Denver Broncos (2-0) travel to the New Orleans Saints (0-1-1) looking to continue their strong preseason performance. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EDT in the controlled indoor environment of the Caesars Superdome.

Team Overview

• Broncos: Denver has dominated preseason so far, with impressive wins over the 49ers and Cardinals, powered by a strong defense that ranked among the league’s best last season. Their quarterback situation is stable, with Bo Nix set as the starter while Jarrett Stidham has been one of the most efficient QBs in preseason, completing 30-of-38 passes for 376 yards, 4 TDs, and no interceptions. Rookie receiver Troy Franklin has emerged as a key target, recording 7 catches for 82 yards and 2 touchdowns in two games.

• Saints: New Orleans remains undecided at quarterback, splitting reps between Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough, both showing similar production but without a clear leader. The defense has struggled, especially against the run—a weakness that the Broncos are likely to exploit. Saints’ running backs contribute heavily in the passing game, averaging the highest targets per game to RBs in the NFL last season.

Key Betting Odds and Trends

Market	Denver Broncos	New Orleans Saints
Spread	-4.5 (-115)	+4.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-220	+185
Total Points (O/U)	38.5 (Over -105 / Under -115)	38.5 (Over -105 / Under -115)
Broncos 1Q Spread Cover	Covered 9 of last 10 away games	N/A
Broncos ATS	Covered 14 of last 20 games	N/A
Saints 1H Moneyline	N/A	Hit in 10 of last 20 games

Matchup Insights & Keys to Victory

• Broncos Offense: Efficient passing attack with strong play-action success, low sack rate, and a reliable red zone conversion rate (7-2 when converting 55%+ of red zone opportunities into touchdowns last season). Expect consistent production from Jarrett Stidham and Bo Nix.

• Saints Offense: Focused on RB involvement in receiving but challenged in converting third downs and sustaining drives, especially without a settled quarterback. Quarterback competition limits offensive rhythm.

• Broncos Defense: Best in NFL last season at limiting successful plays (38%), elite in fourth-quarter rush defense, with 63 sacks in 2024. Will pressure the Saints’ offense and exploit weaknesses in the Saints’ front seven.

• Saints Defense: Struggled against the run and allowed 6.6 yards per play in the second half last season, ranking bottom five overall. Needs improvement in containing the Broncos’ rushing and play-action passing game.

Expert Picks & Player Props

• Best Bet: Broncos -4.5 — Strong preseason showing, settled QBs, and dominant defense favor Denver’s ability to cover the spread.

• Total: Over 38.5 points — Both teams have motivation to score and will give their offensive players meaningful reps.

• Top Player Prop: Jarrett Stidham Over 129.5 passing yards — He has shown accuracy and consistency, and with the Saints’ defensive struggles, he should exceed this mark.

• Noteworthy also: Foster Moreau Over receiving yards remains a solid bet as Saints’ tight end targets remain high.

Summary

The Broncos enter this preseason finale riding momentum with a confident roster and stable quarterback situation. The Saints, meanwhile, aim to settle their quarterback battle while combating defensive vulnerabilities, especially against the run. With Denver’s physical defense and efficient offense, expect them to control the game flow, cover the spread, and push the total points over the 38.5 line. An indoor Superdome setting favors offensive execution, further supporting scoring opportunities for both teams.

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