Colts vs Steelers: Week 9 Prediction, Preview and Betting Odds

The Indianapolis Colts enter their Week 9 NFL clash as three-point favorites against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, November 2, with kickoff scheduled for 1:00 p.m. EDT. The betting line sits at Colts -3 (-115), Steelers +3 (-105), and the total for the game is set at 50.5 points. The Colts hold an impressive 7-1 record while the Steelers are at 4-3 for the season.​

The Colts' dominance this season is evident—they lead the league in scoring with an average of 33.8 points per game, boasting four consecutive 30-plus point performances and six such games over eight contests. The offense, orchestrated by quarterback Daniel Jones and powerhouse running back Jonathan Taylor, has been firing on all cylinders. Jones is playing the best football of his career under coach Shane Steichen, and Taylor is in the midst of an MVP-caliber campaign, already amassing 850 rushing yards with 12 touchdowns and adding two receiving scores through Week 8. Taylor’s dominance includes a recent three-touchdown, 153-yard game on just 12 carries, averaging an astounding 12.8 yards per carry in their commanding 38-14 win over the Tennessee Titans.​

The Steelers, on the other hand, come into this game after back-to-back losses to the Bengals and Packers, sitting at 4-3. Their defense has struggled notably, ranking 30th in total yards allowed per game (386 yards allowed) and allowing an average of 293.4 receiving yards per game—the worst in the NFL. Their run defense has been vulnerable as well, placing them 19th in rush yards allowed per game. Pittsburgh’s defense has also allowed explosive plays, surrendering six receptions for 20+ yards in Week 8 alone and ranking worst in yards after catch to tight ends (7.3 yards).​

This mismatch in defensive quality could lead to a continued showing of offensive strength from the Colts. The Steelers’ defense is allowing far too much quick and short passing, an area in which the Colts excel offensively. Indianapolis ranks third in the league in quick passing and first in short passing, while Pittsburgh ranks 30th and 24th in defending those aspects respectively. This will likely allow Colts receivers Michael Pittman Jr., Josh Downs, and Alec Pierce to exploit coverage weaknesses.​

The Colts are predicted by models to win with approximately 60% confidence and cover the spread with about 59.9% confidence, compiled from recent game trends, player status, and matchup analyses. Against the spread (ATS), the Colts hold a 6-2 record on the season, performing well particularly as favorites. Conversely, the Steelers are 3-4 ATS this season, indicating a tougher time covering expectations at home.​

Key player prop bets favor Colts' stars like Alec Pierce (consistently hitting receiving yards over in past games), Michael Pittman for receptions, and Daniel Jones for completions. Meanwhile, Steelers players such as DK Metcalf tend to hit receptions under, and Aaron Rodgers’ touchdown passes over prop bets have performed well historically.​

Looking specifically at injury reports, the Colts have Tyquan Lewis and Samson Ebukam listed as questionable, while DeShon Elliott is out and Scotty Miller questionable for the Steelers.​

The Steelers' offensive leader Aaron Rodgers continues to show flashes but has struggled to reach high passing yardage or efficient outings against tough defenses. The Colts’ defense ranks sixth-fewest in points allowed per game (19.3), and their front seven applies relentless pressure, often forcing turnovers and limiting opposing offenses.​

In summary, all indicators point toward the Indianapolis Colts controlling this game, particularly relying on Jonathan Taylor who is primed to exploit Pittsburgh’s run defense. Daniel Jones is expected to have a career-best passing day, and the Colts’ balanced attack should overwhelm the vulnerable Steelers defense. The prediction leans heavily toward a Colts victory by at least a field goal, with a final score projection around 34-17 favoring the Colts.​

Colts vs Steelers Game Details

• Date & Time: Sunday, November 2, 2025, at 1:00 p.m. EDT

• Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA

• TV: CBS

• Spread: Colts -3 (-115), Steelers +3 (-105)

• Total Points Line: 50.5 points

• Moneyline: Colts -165, Steelers +140

  
  

This game is set to showcase one of the NFL's top offenses against a struggling Steelers defense, with the Colts entering as road favorites on the heels of impressive recent performances. Fans and bettors alike should watch for the continued dominance of Jonathan Taylor and the strategic passing attack from Daniel Jones as key factors shaping the outcome.​

If you follow betting trends, the Colts have demonstrated strong abilities to hit early quarter totals and cover spreads on the road, while the Steelers have some home trends with early quarter overs and second-quarter spreads but have generally been inconsistent. Both teams have hit the Over in a majority of their games this season.​

All betting lines are subject to change; fans should check updates closer to game day for the latest odds. Remember to gamble responsibly.